Have you ever "reliant" on a real probability at an online casino?
For example, I think it's easy for black to come next because red came 10 times in a row on roulette.
However, the same result in the past does not affect the next game at all, so it is not helpful.
Let's deepen our knowledge by seeing this article and understanding the mistaken way of thinking that was soaked in error.
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Understand that real probabilities don't work at online casinos!
A common mistake of gamblers is the word gambler's fallacy.
For details, see the article above, but in a nutshellIt's just a misunderstanding that the same number in the past seems to be easy to hit because continuous use does not affect the next gamewhat.
I think there are many people who are making chasing bets.
On the contrary, it is not an error to bet on a certain number of rolls.
However, it's not something that will increase your winning percentage.
Speaking of roulette, I think there are places where I think it's about time to get the same result for a good number and a bad number (hot number, cold number). However, in reality, the result is just that, and it's actually easy to get out, and it's not difficult to get out, so you have to make sure you don't get it wrong.
Of course there are waves so there are times when you can beat the good feelings, but that's just luck.
In other words, it is a mistake to say that the winning percentage is 90% by doing "turning around" which is common in information on the Internet.
Even if the numbers 1,5,8,2, 13, 36 and 64.8 appear on the roulette wheel, the probability that the next number will be XNUMX to XNUMX is the same as XNUMX%.
If you believe this and chase after it, the funds will fly in seconds, so be careful.
Also, according to the law of large numbers, it is true that the larger the number of trials, the closer to the original probability, but in the case of roulette, at least 1 games are required, so it is true. Understand that going to convergence in a sense is a daunting story.
Since the 500st dozen is 1 in the history of the past 20 times, if you bet on the 1st dozen, it will be a plus. It often happens that it has become negative.
If you do, you need the money, time, and patience to not get a flat tire even if you play more than 1000 games.
Everyone comes up with such a thing at first and tries it, but it's not so easy, isn't it?
In the end, the conclusion is that if you come to think that finding [something with a high win rate physically] is necessary to keep winning, it feels like you're graduating from a beginner.
Probability doesn't matter when it's a short-term game or a one-shot game.
That's whyI'm talking about misunderstanding the probability that there is neither a former nor a childIt was.
There are people who often show off these mistakes in probability, but those who expose ignorance shouldn't trust them because they can't win 100%.
That's it!
end!
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