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What is the martingale method?Can you actually win?can not win?Thorough commentary!

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Bakara-chan

Can you really use the martingale method, which no one knows in this article?Can you win?Can it be applied?It's an article that considers.
See more details!

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Can you win with the martingale method?

It is no exaggeration to say that the most famous betting system is the "Martingale method".

Isn't the person who is looking at this article "how to win" rather than an explanation of the martingale method?

Rureko

That's right.I don't care about the martingale method

And have you ever lost in the martingale method?

Rureko

It ’s something that fails many times and grows.

In this article, I will explain about the martingale method and the conclusions of the martingale method, "Can it be used?" And "Can it be used?".


First of all, the martingale method is "In theoryIt is a winning method that you can definitely win.

It is effective in games with double or more payouts (roulette red and black, baccarat, blackjack, etc.).

It's easy to do.

If you lose, double your bet and win until you win, and your first bet will be profitable.

Please see the image below.

martingale table

Well, surely somewhere "As long as you winYou won't lose.

However, if you lose 20 times in a row, you will lose more than 100 million in total just for 1 yen.

If you lose 10 or 30 times in a row, you will lose 1000 billion.

Rureko

Ahokusa

In the first place, when you lose 10 times, you have to bet 1023 times the initial bet amount in total.
(Conversely, if you win 10 times with the Parley method, you will get 1023 times the net profit. This time it is not an article about the Parley method, so if you are interested, please see the Parley method page)

Theoretically, you can win only if you have an infinite table limit and funds.

So the conclusion "Martingale method" cannot be used.
Can't keep winning.

Please let me know if anyone thinks it's a realistic way to keep winning.


So, the conclusion is that the martingale method cannot be used, but I will write a method that can win "temporarily", so I think it will not be helpful, but if you are interested, see the continuation. please look.


Attack with a de facto probability

Bakara-chan

If you bet after 10 consecutive reds and blacks and 10 consecutive players and bankers, the winning percentage will increase, right?Because the probability of coming 11 times in a row is 1/1024, right?

Rureko

No matter how many times you continue, the probability is still 1/2.So that doesn't make sense.If you say that, the probability that red and black will come alternately is 1/1024.

So, what Bakara-chan is saying is that if you make a bet after confirming that red and black and certain numbers have not come 8 or 10 times, the winning percentage will increase stochastically.about it.

In other words,Red Red Red Red Red Red Red Red Red Red Red RedIf you have a history of ", bet on black!"That is.

As Rureko says,The probability itself does not change.

Since it is an independent event, the results of the history have nothing to do with it.

Even if red appears 30 times in a row, the probability of black appearing next is 50% (strictly speaking, 48.6%).

Furthermore, when I look at the live roulette, I can see some strange tsura (continuous) everywhere.

Instead of 10 consecutive red and black numbers, the same number appears 3 consecutive times (1/50653), 1-18 and odd numbers 10 times or more in a row.It ’s common..

Therefore, there is no stochastic advantage because the previous result is like this.

Bakara-chan

Then, if red and black are alternately (teleco) 10 times in a row, what if you bet on the same side as the previous result, or red, red, black, black, red, red, black, and black bet on black next to the history?

Even in that case, it doesn't change after all.I just feel like it's better than the red and black vines.

It's often an article on the internet, and the probability of getting off is less than 1%!It's a misunderstanding that Bakara-chan makes, and it's neither a winning method nor a way to increase the winning percentage.

Supplementally, "Kara-maki" of roulette (video roulette) other than live is a relief and useless. (The so-called self-hyena)

It's a little derailed, but with a de facto chance you can't keep winning.

Rureko

It ’s just that it ’s easy to hit “feelings”.

When I actually try it, the first few times are Martin's 3rd and 4th times, and when I think "I can go!", I suddenly lose 10 consecutive times and end, which is often a pattern.

After that, the funds will melt like this, such as trying to raise the bet amount in the mud and trying to get it back, trying another game, expecting a blow in the slot, and so on.

Martin quits if he wins 4 times with the rule of stopping loss in the 5th time!If it is something like that, it will be a positive balance temporarily, but if it continues, it is more likely that it will be a negative balance.


Try to attack with a game with 2x or 3x payout instead of a game with double payout

Bakara-chan

Isn't it necessary to make a stop-loss insurance with roulette dozens, column bets (triple payout area), and double street bets (3x payout)?

Rureko

(Hmm? Maybe I don't feel like it's going to go ...?)

First of all, please see the image below.

3x Dividend Martin Table

↑ is the case of trying Martin in the triple payout area of ​​Dozen and Column.

↑ is the case when the dividend is 6 times that of Double Street.

Bakara-chan

Isn't it better to win at once than to make a lot of money in a two-choice game?

By the way, in the case of 12 times, 18 times, 36 times dividend, it will be like this.

12x, 18x, 36x Martingale table

Looking only at net profit, it feels like a profit commensurate with the probability.

Moreover, the more you lose and win, the more profit you will get.

If it is 3 times, the amount bet when winning is an approximate profit, if it is 6 times, a little more than 4 times the amount bet when winning is profit, and if it is 12 times, 10 times the amount bet when winning, If it is 18 times, it will be a little 16 times the amount bet when you win, and if it is 36 times, it will be a little 34 times the amount you bet when you win, so it is destructive.

I think you can feel what you did when you hit it, soYou can't win continuously, but it may be suitable for a one-shot game.

Rureko

If you pay more than 3 times, the Kokomo method is less risky, but if you expect a blow, Martin has a dream on the premise of losing.

If you want to take advantage of this, you have to predict the position where the ball will fall and increase the winning percentage by using a roulette shift bet.

As mentioned earlier, it is an independent event, so the previous result is irrelevant, but it will be different if physical prediction (I will write an article someday) becomes possible.

If you do not hit the 5th time, withdraw!It may be possible to fight with the rule.

I think it has the potential to recover the lost amount at once.

Combine with other bets or change gambling

Bakara-chan

Start with the Kokomo method and switch to Martin from the middle, quit if you succeed once in the reverse martingale (Parley method) with 9 shift bets, double the funds if you lose in the 1 method, do it until you recover the loss, horse racing boat racing FX binary Do it as an option or bet one more point with all tsupa (ry)

Rureko

Wait a minute, this article is only about the martingale method, I will make another article for another betting, so I will not explain it in this article, and it is becoming unrelated to Martin, so if you calm down

This time it will be an article about the martingale method, so otherBetting system explained in another articlePlease have a look there.

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[Conclusion] It is extremely difficult to continuously increase the balance with only the martingale method

Bakara-chan

It means that you will definitely be able to lose in a row someday

I want to play!If so, it may be a little fun, butIt is impossible to keep winning continuouslyIt will be.

Certainly, it is possible to temporarily make a positive balance by deciding to limit Martin to 4 times in some cases.It can only be applied.

However, whether it's roulette or baccarat, I'm designed to lose for some reason when I bet a lot of money.

It's a level like squid or crushing betting with AI.

Rureko

Be careful not to spend a lot of money by swallowing articles on the net.

This site exists for the purpose of giving you hints on how to win.

Of course we also want to win (`・ ω ・ ´)

There are various so-called "methods", so please try to find a method that suits you.

Bakara-chan

It is impossible to keep winning with the martingale method "only".

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