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Germany's gambling industry may suffer from recession

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Germany faces new obstacles as it seeks to expand its regulated gaming market.Despite our denials, the global economy is in recession, and it's starting to show at home.Some say the gaming industry is recession-proof, but recent research refutes that claim.

In front of the Reichstag building, a German united flag dyed in the colors of the national flag is hoisted.The country is facing a recession, which could affect the gambling industry. (Image: German Bundestag)

Analysts assert that Russia's natural gas cuts after the attack on Ukraine have had a severe impact on Europe's largest economy.Official data also attribute Germany's recession in the first quarter of this year in part to relentless inflation.

The economy fell 2022% in the first quarter of this year, following a 0.5% decline in the first half of 1.By most economic definitions, an economy is considered to be in recession when it has two consecutive quarters of decline.

Similar declines have been seen in the UK and US, with analysts watching traffic in Las Vegas closely.Germany's recession is not yet at critical levels, but research shows that gambling is often one of the first things consumers let go of when they have to cut back on spending.

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approach with caution

It is said to be recession-proof, but the correlation between a strong economy and a strong gambling market is no secret.Studies are regularly conducted to highlight the link between the two.

A 2012 Dutch study by Csilla Horváth and Richard Paap found that between 1959 and 2010, when the economy improved, so did gambling.When the economy went bad, so did the game industry.

Curiously, this trend does not apply to all gambling sectors.Multiple studies have shown that lottery sales don't go on the same rollercoaster ride as economic ups and downs.

In Germany, household spending fell by 1.2% compared to the previous quarter, according to the latest figures.In addition, government spending fell by 4.9% and car sales plummeted as government incentives for electric and hybrid vehicles were reduced.

Andreas Scheuerle, an analyst at German financial institution DekaBank, said Germany's economy is being dragged by consumers because of high inflation. Inflation in Germany climbed to 4% in April, above the euro area average but below the UK's 7.2%.

Rising prices have reduced household consumption of essential goods such as food, clothing and furniture.In addition, the industry is becoming more regulated due to rising energy costs.

may be alleviated

Destatis, the official statistics agency, previously predicted a shortfall in growth in the first quarter of this year, suggesting a recession averted.However, due to soaring prices, stability is in jeopardy.

Despite Germany's heavy reliance on Russian energy, the recession has not been as severe as initially predicted.A warm winter and a rebound in China's economy played a key role in mitigating the impact of exorbitant energy costs.

Analysts say private investment and exports have increased, but not enough to pull Germany out of recession zone.However, Germany's central bank, the Bundesbank, expects stronger economic growth in the June quarter.This is because the economic slowdown, which had hitherto hindered consumer spending, has diminished.

The good news is that a recession is unlikely to result in a drastic drop in gaming revenue.As Britain's recent economic turmoil suggests, Germany will weather the storm with relative ease.

Rising inflation has caused many problems in the UK and Ireland, but some companies have seen their earnings increase over the past year.Germany is just getting off to a good start in online gaming, but there is still hope.Requests for comments from organizations such as the German Sports Betting Association are still awaiting a response.

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