I-International Monetary Fund (IMF) iqikelela ukuba uqoqosho lweNgingqi yoLawulo oluKhethekileyo lwaseMacau (SAR) luza kukhula nge-2023% ngo-58.9 kuhlelo lwayo lwamva nje lwe-World Economic Outlook, njengoko kuxelwe yi-Asia Gaming Brief.Ngokusekelwe kolu qikelelo, iziko lezemali elihloniphekileyo lilindele ukuba i-GDP yommandla we-Macau ibuyiselwe ukufikelela kwi-2024% yamanqanaba angaphambi kobhubhane ngo-86.
Imidlalo ethunyelwa ngaphandle njengeyona nto iphambili yokukhula
Uqikelelo lwe-IMF luthathela ingqalelo into yokuba i-Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ye-Macau yehla nge-2022% ngo-26.8, ngelixa iphinda ithathele ingqalelo uphuhliso lwamva nje lwezoqoqosho kunye nokuvulwa kwakhona kweendawo zokungcebeleka zekhasino kunye nezinye izibonelelo ngoJanuwari 2023, 1. .I-arhente iphinde yahlaziya imbonakalo yayo ukubonisa ukuba uqoqosho lwe-SAR lusenokukhula nge-8% ngo-2024.
Ingxelo iqwalasele ixesha lika-60-2019 apho i-GDP yalo mmandla yaphulukana ne-540% yexabiso layo, yehla ukusuka kwi-2022 yeebhiliyoni zeedola ngo-221 ukuya kwi-2019 yeebhiliyoni zeedola ngo-2022, kwaye ubhubhani kunye nokuvalwa okunxulumene noko kubangele ukuba ibonise ukuba inempembelelo enkulu. kuqoqosho lwasekhaya.I-IMF ke ngoko ichonge ukuthunyelwa kweenkonzo zemidlalo kumazwe angaphandle njengeyona nto iphambili yokukhula koqoqosho lweMacau, kwaye kuxelwe ukuba isekela ithemba lekamva lommandla kwireyithi yenguquko yolu shishino.
Ukwehla kwezinga lentswela-ngqesho kulindeleke
I-IMF iphinde ilindele ukuba izinga lokungasebenzi kwe-SAR lihle liye kwi-2023% ngo-2.7, ngokwemithombo.Izinga lokungabikho kwemisebenzi sele liwile kwi-3.4% kwixesha lokujonga ukuya kwi-1% kwikota yokuqala yalo nyaka, izinga eliphantsi lokungabikho kwemisebenzi ukususela kwikota yokuqala ye-3.3, ngokwedatha evela kwi-Macau's Statistics and Census Service.
Imithetho enxulumene ne-COVID kuthiwa ibe nempembelelo enkulu kuqoqosho lwasekhaya, amanani abakhenkethi ehle nge-2022% ngo-26 ukuya kwi-570 yezigidi kuphela, elona nqanaba lisezantsi ukusukela ngo-1999.Nangona kunjalo, ngokuvulwa kukaJanuwari walo nyaka, amazinga okufika kwikota yokuqala ka-1 abuyele kumanqanaba angaphambi kobhubhane xa irekhodi labakhenkethi abazizigidi ezingama-2023 bandwendwela i-SAR ngo-1.
Nangona kunjalo, i-IMF ikwathathele ingqalelo iintsingiselo zangoku zoqoqosho kwaye yaqikelela ukukhula ngokubanzi kunye nentswela-ngqesho esezantsi kwixesha elizayo.Ke ngoko, i-arhente iqhuba ngesantya sokukhula esiqikelelweyo se-2025% kwi-GDP yeMacau ngo-8.5.Ngokuphathelele i-China, abasemagunyeni bezemali balindele ukukhula koqoqosho nge-5.2% kwakhona kulo nyaka, okuhambelana ne-5% ekujoliswe kuyo yokukhula ebekwe ngabasemagunyeni baseTshayina.
Ukunyuka kokufika konyusa ukukhula
Ukuchacha okunamandla okuvela ekufikeni okuphezulu bekulindelwe ziiarhente ezithile zokuqikelela.Kwinyanga ephelileyo, i-arhente yokukala iFitch ibilindele ukuba ingeniso yemidlalo ibuyele phantse kwisiqingatha samanqanaba ka-2019. “Ukuphakanyiswa kwamanyathelo obhubhane, ukuqalisa kwakhona kokhenketho lwephakheji yelizwe, kunye nokuncipha kokunqongophala kwabasebenzi kunye nezithintelo zamandla okubonelela kuya kubona amanani abatyeleli enyuka kakhulu ngo-2023.” Ndilapha.
Ezinye iingcaphephe kushishino nazo zilindele ukuba ukuchacha kuqiniswe kwiinyanga ezizayo, ngokusekwe kwinto yokuba abakhenkethi abazizigidi ezi-1 batyelele lo mmandla 'ngexesha eliphantsi' kwikota yokuqala.Ibhodi yezoKhenketho yaseMacau kuxelwe ukuba isebenzise amanani afanayo ukuqikelela ukuba i-500 yezigidi ekujoliswe kuyo inokufikelelwa ekupheleni konyaka.Uqikelelo lwe-IMF ye-2,000% yokukhula kwe-GDP kummandla kuya kuba nokwenzeka ngakumbi njengoko unyaka uqhubeka njengoko ingeniso yemidlalo ye-Macau iqhubeka nokunyuka njengoko ukhenketho lukhula.
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